Energy Shift
Sizing Up: The Oil Market vs Top 10 Metal Markets Combined
The Size of the Oil Market vs Top 10 Metal Markets
While the global economy relies on many commodities, none come close to the massive scale of the oil market.
Besides being the primary energy source for transportation, oil is a key raw material for numerous other industries like plastics, fertilizers, cosmetics, and medicine. As a result, the global physical oil market is astronomical in size and has a significant economic and geopolitical influence, with a few countries dominating global oil production.
The above infographic puts crude oil’s market size into perspective by comparing it to the 10 largest metal markets combined. To calculate market sizes, we used the latest price multiplied by global production in 2022, based on data from TradingEconomics and the United States Geological Survey (USGS).
Note: This analysis focuses on raw and physical materials, excluding derivative markets and alloy materials like steel.
How Big Is the Oil Market?
In 2022, the world produced an average of 80.75 million barrels of oil per day (including condensates). That puts annual crude oil production at around 29.5 billion barrels, with the market size exceeding $2 trillion at current prices.
That figure dwarfs the combined size of the 10 largest metal markets:
Commodity | 2022 Annual Production | Market Size |
---|---|---|
Crude Oil | 29.5 billion barrels | $2.1 trillion |
Iron Ore | 2.6 billion tonnes | $283.4 billion |
Gold | 3,100 tonnes | $195.9 billion |
Copper | 22 million tonnes | $183.3 billion |
Aluminum | 69 million tonnes | $152.6 billion |
Nickel | 3.3 million tonnes | $68.8 billion |
Zinc | 13 million tonnes | $30.9 billion |
Silver | 26,000 tonnes | $19.9 billion |
Molybdenum | 250,000 tonnes | $12.9 billion |
Palladium | 210 tonnes | $9.5 billion |
Lead | 4.5 million tonnes | $9.2 billion |
Based on prices as of June 7, 2023.
The combined market size of the top 10 metal markets amounts to $967 billion, less than half that of the oil market. In fact, even if we added all the remaining smaller raw metal markets, the oil market would still be far bigger.
This also reflects the massive scale of global oil consumption annually, with the resource having a ubiquitous presence in our daily lives.
The Big Picture
While the oil market towers over metal markets, it’s important to recognize that this doesn’t downplay the importance of these commodities.
Metals form a critical building block of the global economy, playing a key role in infrastructure, energy technologies, and more. Meanwhile, precious metals like gold and silver serve as important stores of value.
As the world shifts towards a more sustainable future and away from fossil fuels, it’ll be interesting to see how the markets for oil and other commodities evolve.
Energy Shift
Visualizing the Decline of Copper Usage in EVs
Copper content in EVs has steadily decreased over the past decade, even as overall copper demand rises due to the increasing adoption of EVs.
Visualizing the Decline of Copper Usage in EVs
Copper intensity in passenger battery electric vehicles (BEVs) has steadily decreased over the last decade, driven by numerous technological advancements alongside increasing usage of alternative materials such as aluminum.
In this graphic, we visualize the evolution of copper demand in various subcomponents of passenger battery electric vehicles (BEVs) from 2015 to 2030F, along with total global copper demand driven by EVs for the same period. This data comes exclusively from Benchmark Mineral Intelligence.
Copper Intensity Per Car
According to Benchmark Mineral Intelligence, the copper intensity per vehicle is expected to decline by almost 38 kg, from 99 kg in 2015 to 62 kg by 2030.
Year | Wiring | Motor | Copper Foil | Busbar | Auxiliary Motor | Charging Cable | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 | 30 | 8 | 41.26 | 13.23 | 2.87 | 3.96 | 99.32 |
2016 | 29 | 8 | 38.68 | 13.37 | 2.85 | 3.92 | 95.82 |
2017 | 28 | 7 | 32.67 | 12.72 | 2.84 | 3.90 | 87.13 |
2018 | 27 | 7 | 26.39 | 11.87 | 2.82 | 3.88 | 78.96 |
2019 | 26 | 7 | 28.00 | 10.85 | 2.78 | 3.82 | 78.45 |
2020 | 25 | 7 | 24.71 | 10.24 | 2.73 | 3.76 | 73.44 |
2021 | 24 | 6 | 25.27 | 9.29 | 2.69 | 3.70 | 70.95 |
2022 | 23 | 7 | 28.44 | 8.56 | 2.65 | 3.64 | 73.29 |
2023 | 22 | 7 | 29.87 | 8.12 | 2.61 | 3.58 | 73.18 |
2024F | 21 | 7 | 27.73 | 7.67 | 2.56 | 3.52 | 69.48 |
2025F | 20 | 7 | 27.79 | 7.19 | 2.52 | 2.51 | 67.01 |
2026F | 20 | 7 | 27.78 | 6.63 | 2.48 | 3.41 | 67.30 |
2027F | 19 | 8 | 27.55 | 6.15 | 2.44 | 3.35 | 66.49 |
2028F | 18 | 8 | 26.77 | 5.70 | 2.40 | 3.30 | 64.17 |
2029F | 18 | 8 | 26.17 | 5.51 | 2.39 | 3.28 | 63.35 |
2030F | 17 | 8 | 25.63 | 5.44 | 2.37 | 3.26 | 61.70 |
One of the most significant factors driving this decline is thrifting, where engineers and manufacturers continuously improve the efficiency and performance of various components, leading to reduced copper usage. A key example of this is in battery production, where the thickness of copper foil used in battery anodes has significantly decreased.
In 2015, Benchmark estimated copper foil usage was just over 41 kg per vehicle (at an average thickness of 10 microns), but by 2030, it is projected to fall to 26 kg as manufacturers continue to adopt thinner foils.
Similarly, automotive wiring systems have become more localized, with advances in high-voltage wiring and modular integration allowing for reduced copper content in wiring harnesses.
Copper used in wiring has dropped from 30 kg per vehicle in 2015 to a projected 17 kg by 2030.
Newer, more compact power electronics and improved thermal management in motors and charging cables have also contributed to the reduction in copper usage.
Substitution has also played a role, with alternatives such as aluminum increasingly being used in components like busbars, wiring harnesses, and charging cable applications.
Aluminum’s lighter weight and lower cost have made it a practical alternative to copper in specific applications, though the additional space required to achieve the same level of conductivity can limit its use in certain cases.
Benchmark estimates that copper used in automotive wire harnesses has declined by 30% between 2015 and 2024.
The Road Ahead
Despite reductions in per-vehicle copper usage, the outlook for copper demand from the EV sector remains strong due to the sector’s growth.
Year | EV Sector Copper Demand (tonnes) |
---|---|
2015 | 56K |
2016 | 82K |
2017 | 111K |
2018 | 166K |
2019 | 179K |
2020 | 237K |
2021 | 447K |
2022 | 696K |
2023 | 902K |
2024F | 1.0M |
2025F | 1.2M |
2026F | 1.5M |
2027F | 1.7M |
2028F | 2.0M |
2029F | 2.2M |
2030F | 2.5M |
Benchmark’s analysis indicates that by 2030, copper demand driven by EVs alone will exceed 2.5 million tonnes, securing copper’s critical role in the transition to a low-carbon future.
Energy Shift
Visualizing the Rise in Global Coal Consumption
China remains the largest coal consumer, making up 56% of the global total.
Visualizing the Rise in Global Coal Consumption
This was originally posted on our Voronoi app. Download the app for free on iOS or Android and discover incredible data-driven charts from a variety of trusted sources.
Despite efforts to decarbonize the economy, global coal consumption surpassed 164 exajoules for the first time in 2023. The fossil fuel still accounts for 26% of the world’s total energy consumption.
In this graphic, we show global coal consumption by region from 1965 to 2023, based on data from the Energy Institute.
China Leads in Coal Consumption
China is by far the largest consumer of coal, accounting for 56% of the global total, with 91.94 exajoules in 2023.
It is followed by India, with 21.98 exajoules, and the U.S., with 8.20 exajoules. In 2023, India exceeded the combined consumption of Europe and North America for the first time.
Regionally, North America and Europe have seen a decline in coal consumption since the 1990s, while the Asia-Pacific region experienced a surge in demand during the same period.
Year | Asia Pacific (Exajoules) | North America | Europe | Rest of the World | Total World |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2013 | 114.14 | 19.48 | 15.86 | 11.47 | 160.95 |
2014 | 115.74 | 19.39 | 14.88 | 11.68 | 161.62 |
2015 | 115.00 | 16.89 | 14.24 | 11.11 | 157.25 |
2016 | 113.21 | 15.55 | 13.74 | 11.35 | 153.85 |
2017 | 115.67 | 15.30 | 13.29 | 11.23 | 155.50 |
2018 | 119.05 | 14.50 | 12.98 | 11.34 | 157.87 |
2019 | 121.94 | 12.49 | 11.06 | 11.45 | 156.95 |
2020 | 121.91 | 9.97 | 9.57 | 10.82 | 152.27 |
2021 | 127.75 | 11.24 | 10.44 | 11.12 | 160.56 |
2022 | 129.80 | 10.54 | 10.02 | 11.18 | 161.53 |
2023 | 135.70 | 8.83 | 8.39 | 11.11 | 164.03 |
Coal Production on the Rise
In addition to consumption, global coal production also reached its highest-ever level in 2023, at 179 exajoules.
The Asia-Pacific region accounted for nearly 80% of global output, with activity concentrated in Australia, China, India, and Indonesia.
China alone was responsible for just over half of total global production.
Learn More on the Voronoi App
If you want to learn more about fossil fuel consumption, check out this graphic showing the top 12 countries by fossil fuel consumption in 2023.
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