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The Critical Minerals to China, EU, and U.S. National Security

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The Critical Minerals to China, EU, and U.S. National Security

The Critical Minerals to China, EU, and U.S. Security

Governments formulate lists of critical minerals according to their industrial requirements and strategic evaluations of supply risks.

Over the last decade, minerals like nickel, copper, and lithium have been on these lists and deemed essential for clean technologies like EV batteries and solar and wind power.

This graphic usesย IRENAย and theย U.S. Department of Energyย data to identify which minerals are essential to China, the United States, and the European Union.

What are Critical Minerals?

There is no universally accepted definition of critical minerals. Countries and regions maintain lists that mirror current technology requirements and supply and demand dynamics, among other factors.

These lists are also constantly changing. For example, the EUโ€™s first critical minerals list in 2011 featured only 14 raw materials. In contrast, the 2023 version identified 34 raw materials as critical.

One thing countries share, however, is the concern that a lack of minerals could slow down the energy transition.

The Critical Minerals to China, EU, and U.S. Security

With most countries committed to reducing greenhouse gas emissions, the total mineral demand from clean energy technologies is expected toย doubleย by 2040.

U.S. and EU Seek to Reduce Import Reliance on Critical Minerals

Ten materials feature on critical material lists of both the U.S., the EU, and China, including cobalt, lithium, graphite, and rare earths.

Mineral / Considered Critical๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S.๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ EU๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China
Aluminum/ bauxiteYesYesYes
AntimonyYesYesYes
CobaltYesYesYes
Copper YesYesYes
FluorsparYesYesYes
GraphiteYesYesYes
LithiumYesYesYes
NickelYesYesYes
Rare earths YesYesYes
TungstenYesYesYes
ArsenicYesYesNo
BariteYesYesNo
BerylliumYesYesNo
BismuthYesYesNo
GermaniumYesYesNo
HafniumYesYesNo
MagnesiumYesYesNo
ManganeseYesYesNo
NiobiumYesYesNo
PlatinumYesYesNo
TantalumYesYesNo
TitaniumYesYesNo
VanadiumYesYesNo
TinYesNoYes
ZirconiumYesNoYes
Phosphorus NoYesYes
CesiumYesNoNo
ChromiumYesNoNo
IndiumYesNoNo
RubidiumYesNoNo
SamariumYesNoNo
TelluriumYesNoNo
ZincYesNoNo
BoronNoYesNo
Coking CoalNoYesNo
FeldsparNoYesNo
GalliumNoYesNo
HeliumNoYesNo
Phosphate Rock NoYesNo
ScandiumNoYesNo
SiliconNoYesNo
StrontiumNoYesNo
Gold NoNoYes
Iron ore NoNoYes
MolybdenumNoNoYes
Potash NoNoYes
UraniumNoNoYes

Despite having most of the same materials found in the U.S. or Chinaโ€™s list, the European list is the only one to include phosphate rock. The region has limited phosphate resources (only produced in Finland) and largely depends on imports of the material essential for manufacturing fertilizers.

Coking coal is also only on the EU list. The material is used in the manufacture of pig iron and steel. Production is currently dominated by China (58%), followed by Australia (17%), Russia (7%), and the U.S. (7%).

The U.S. has also sought to reduce its reliance on imports. Today, the country is 100% import-dependent on manganese and graphite and 76% on cobalt.

After decades of sourcing materials from other countries, the U.S. local production of raw materials has become extremely limited. For instance, there is only one operating nickel mine (primary) in the country, the Eagle Mine in Michigan. Likewise, the country only hosts one lithium source in Nevada, the Silver Peak Mine.

Chinaโ€™s Dominance

Despite being the worldโ€™s biggest carbon polluter, China is the largest producer of most of the worldโ€™s critical minerals for the green revolution.

China produces 60% of all rare earth elements used as components in high-technology devices, including smartphones and computers. The country also has a 13% share of the lithium production market. In addition, it refines around 35% of the worldโ€™s nickel, 58% of lithium, and 70% of cobalt.

Among some of the unique materials on Chinaโ€™s list is gold. Although gold is used on a smaller scale in technology, China has sought gold for economic and geopolitical factors, mainly toย diversifyย its foreign exchange reserves, which rely heavily on the U.S. dollar.

Analystsย estimateย China has bought a record 400 tonnes of gold in recent years.

China has also slated uranium as a critical mineral. The Chinese government has stated it intends to become self-sufficient in nuclear power plant capacity and fuel production for those plants.

According to theย World Nuclear Association, China aims to produce one-third of its uranium domestically.

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Energy Shift

China Dominates the Supply of U.S. Critical Minerals List

China was the worldโ€™s leading producer of 30 out of 50 entries on the U.S. critical minerals list, according to the U.S. Geological Survey.

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China Dominates the Supply of U.S. Critical Minerals List

This was originally posted on our Voronoi app. Download the app for free on iOS or Android and discover incredible data-driven charts from a variety of trusted sources.

Most countries have, for many decades, kept a record of their own critical minerals list.

For example, the U.S., drew up a list of “war minerals” during World War I, containing important minerals which could not be found and produced in abundance domestically. They included: tin, nickel, platinum, nitrates and potash.

Since then, as the economy has grown and innovated, critical mineral lists have expanded considerably. The Energy Act of 2020 defines a critical mineral as:

“A non-fuel mineral or mineral material essential to the economic or national security of the U.S., whose supply chains are vulnerable to disruption.” — Energy Act, 2020.

Currently there are 50 entries on this list and the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) estimates that China is the leading producer for 30 of them. From USGS data, we visualize Chinaโ€™s share of U.S. imports for 10 critical minerals.

What Key Critical Minerals Does the U.S. Import From China?

The U.S. is 100% import-reliant for its supply of yttrium, with China responsible for 94% of U.S. imports of the metal from 2018 to 2021.

A soft silvery metal, yttrium is used as an additive for alloys, making microwave filters for radars, and as a catalyst in ethylene polymerizationโ€”a key process in making certain kinds of plastic.

China is a major supplier of the following listed critical minerals to the U.S.

Critical MineralChina's Share
of U.S. Imports
U.S. Imports (Tonnes)Uses
Yttrium94%1,000Catalyst, Microwave filters
Rare Earths74%11,940Smartphones, Cameras
Bismuth65%2,800Metallurgy
Antimony63%25,590Batteries
Arsenic57%5,400Semiconductors
Germanium54%29,000Chips, Fiber optics
Gallium53%12,000Chips, Fiber optics
Barite38%2,300Hydrocarbon production
Graphite (natural)33%82,000Batteries, Lubricants
Tungsten29%14,000Metallurgy

Note: Chinaโ€™s share of U.S. critical minerals imports is based on average imports from 2018 to 2021.

Meanwhile, the U.S. also imports nearly three-quarters of its rare earth compounds and metals demand from China. Rare earth elementsโ€”so called since they are not found in easily-mined, concentrated clustersโ€”are a collection of 15 elements on the periodic table, known as the lanthanide series.

โ„น๏ธ Yttrium and scandium exhibit similar rare-earth properties, and are found in the same ore bodies. They are often grouped together with the lanthanide series.

Rare earths are used in smartphones, cameras, hard disks, and LEDs but also, crucially, in the clean energy and defense industries.

Does China’s Dominance of U.S. Critical Minerals Supply Matter?

The USGS estimates that China could potentially disrupt the global rare earth oxide supply by cutting off 40โ€“50% production, impacting suppliers of advanced components used in U.S. defense systems.

A version of this sort of trade warfare is already playing out. Earlier this year, China implemented export controls on germanium and gallium. The U.S. relies on China for around 54% of its demand for both minerals, used for producing chips, solar panels, and fiber optics.

China’s controls were seen as a retaliation against the U.S. which has restricted the supply of chips, chip design software, and lithography machines to Chinese companies.

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Technology Metals

Charted: America’s Import Reliance of Critical Minerals

The U.S. is heavily reliant on imports for many critical minerals. How import-dependent is the U.S. for each one, and on which country?

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cropped chart of U.S. import reliance of critical minerals

Charting Americaโ€™s Import Reliance of Key Minerals

The push towards a more sustainable future requires various key minerals to build the infrastructure of the green economy. However, the U.S. is heavily reliant on nonfuel mineral imports causing potential vulnerabilities in the nation’s supply chains.

Specifically, the U.S. is 100% reliant on imports for at least 12 key minerals deemed critical by the government, with China being the primary import source for many of these along with many other critical minerals.

This graphic uses data from the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) to visualize Americaโ€™s import dependence for 30 different key nonfuel minerals along with the nation that the U.S. primarily imports each mineral from.

U.S. Import Reliance, by Mineral

While the U.S. mines and processes a significant amount of minerals domestically, in 2022 imports still accounted for more than half of the countryโ€™s consumption of 51 nonfuel minerals. The USGS calculates a net import reliance as a percentage of apparent consumption, showing how much of U.S. demand for each mineral is met through imports.

Of the most important minerals deemed by the USGS, the U.S. was 95% or more reliant on imports for 13 different minerals, with China being the primary import source for more than half of these.

MineralNet Import Reliance as Percentage of ConsumptionPrimary Import Source (2018-2021)
Arsenic100%๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China
Fluorspar100%๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ Mexico
Gallium100%๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China
Graphite (natural)100%๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China
Indium100%๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท Republic of Korea
Manganese100%๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Gabon
Niobium100%๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท Brazil
Scandium100%๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Europe
Tantalum100%๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China
Yttrium100%๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China
Bismuth96%๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China
Rare Earths (compounds and metals)95%๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China
Titanium (metal)95%๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Japan
Antimony83%๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China
Chromium83%๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฆ South Africa
Tin77%๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ช Peru
Cobalt76%๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด Norway
Zinc76%๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada
Aluminum (bauxite)75%๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ฒ Jamaica
Barite75%๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China
Tellerium75%๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada
Platinum66%๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฆ South Africa
Nickel56%๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada
Vanadium54%๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada
Germanium50%๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China
Magnesium50%๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Israel
Tungsten50%๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China
Zirconium50%๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฆ South Africa
Palladium26%๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Russia
Lithium25%๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท Argentina

These include rare earths (a group of 17 nearly indistinguishable heavy metals with similar properties) which are essential in technology, high-powered magnets, electronics, and industry, along with natural graphite which is found in lithium-ion batteries.

These are all on the U.S. governmentโ€™s critical mineral list which has a total of 50 minerals, and the U.S. is 50% or more import reliant for 43 of these minerals.

Some other minerals on the official list which the U.S. is 100% reliant on imports for are arsenic, fluorspar, indium, manganese, niobium, and tantalum, which are used in a variety of applications like the production of alloys and semiconductors along with the manufacturing of electronic components like LCD screens and capacitors.

Chinaโ€™s Gallium and Germanium Restrictions

Americaโ€™s dependence on imports for various minerals has resulted in a new challenge resulting from Chinaโ€™s announced export restrictions on gallium and germanium that took effect August 1st, 2023. The U.S. is 100% import dependent for gallium and 50% import dependent for germanium.

These restrictions are seen as a retaliation against U.S. and EU sanctions on China which have restricted the export of chips and chipmaking equipment.

Both gallium and germanium are used in the production of transistors and semiconductors along with solar panels and cells, and these export restrictions present an additional hurdle for critical U.S. supply chains of various technologies that include LED lights and fiber-optic systems used for high-speed data transmission.

The restrictions also affect the European Union, which imports 71% of its gallium and 45% of its germanium from China. It’s another stark reminder to the world of Chinaโ€™s dominance in the production and processing of many key minerals.

The announcement of these restrictions has only highlighted the importance for the U.S. and other nations to reduce import dependence and diversify supply chains of key minerals and technologies.

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