Real Assets
Visualizing Two Decades of Central Bank Gold Reserve Changes
Gold-Hoarding Nations: Changing Gold Reserves Since 2000
Gold has long been an important hedge in times of uncertainty, and unlike foreign currencies, equities, or debt securities, its value is not dependent on any company or nation’s solvency.
This has made gold an essential part of many national central bank reserves, especially as the monetary supply of many nations continues to expand and central banks are exploring digital currencies which could be reserve or gold backed.
With gold still making up a large part of many nations’ reserves, how have central banks been managing the precious metal?
Using data from the IMF’s International Financial Statistics, this infographic looks at the top 20 countries by their central bank’s gold holdings and how their national gold reserves have changed since 2000.
European Nations Sold Gold, but Still Hold Plenty
Many European nations started the millennium by reducing their gold holdings. The Euro Area (including the European Central Bank) sold a total of 1,885.3 tonnes over the past two decades, reducing gold holdings by around 15%.
Despite this, European nations like Germany, Italy, and France still retain some of the largest gold reserves, with Italy not having touched their gold at all over the past 20 years.
After the termination of the Central Bank Gold Agreement in July of 2019, the European Central Bank made it clear that gold is still held in high standard by the Euro Area’s nations:
“The signatories confirm that gold remains an important element of global monetary reserves, as it continues to provide asset diversification benefits and none of them currently has plans to sell significant amounts of gold.”
– ECB
Small Countries, Big Buyers
While nations across Europe sold off some of their central bank gold reserves, smaller countries like Kazakhstan, Cambodia, Kyrgyz Republic, Belarus, Qatar, and Uzbekistan have been some of the biggest gold purchasers relative to their GDP.
Large Gold Purchases of Six Small Nations
Central Bank Gold Reserves (tonnes) in 2021 | Net Change in Gold Reserves (tonnes) since 2000 | Purchased Gold USD Value (at $1,730/oz) | Nominal GDP in USD | Purchased Gold as a Percentage of GDP | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Uzbekistan* | 340.6 | +159.9 | $8.89B | $63.30B | 14.0% |
Kazakhstan | 390.7 | +334.7 | $18.64B | $180.72B | 10.3% |
Kyrgyz Republic | 16.8 | +14.2 | $0.79B | $8.45B | 9.3% |
Cambodia | 45.5 | +33.1 | $1.84B | $28.55B | 6.4% |
Belarus** | 50.0 | +40.7 | $2.26B | $60.97B | 3.7% |
Qatar | 56.7 | +56.1 | $3.12B | $155.57B | 2.0% |
*Uzbekistan data only available from 2013 onwards
**Belarus data only available from 2002 onwards
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database
None of the nations in the table above rank in the top 50 by nominal GDP, however, their central bank reserves have greatly grown in value thanks to their gold accumulation over the past 20 years. Along with this, countries like Uzbekistan are focusing on making gold production and circulation a key part of their economies.
In November of 2020, Uzbekistan introduced a new gold product available at commercial banks to make buying and selling gold more accessible: gold bars weighing 5, 10, 20, and 50 grams in a protective card packaging with a matching QR code for authentication.
As Uzbekistan pushes to become one of the world’s largest gold producers over the next few years, this product reintroduces gold in smaller purchasable amounts for everyday citizens.
A Turkish Delight of Gold Purchases
Since 2017, Turkey has increased gold within their central bank reserves from 116 to 527 tonnes (a 354% increase), while wrestling with rising inflation and a plummeting Turkish lira.
Alongside the central bank’s gold purchases, the Turkish government introduced gold-backed bonds and changes to gold regulations in an attempt to draw out household gold deposits. To further strengthen the nation’s economic independence and cut down gold import costs, Turkey is planning to radically ramp up domestic gold production to 100 tonnes of gold per year.
The country broke records in 2020 with 42 tonnes of gold produced, and the recent discovery of a 3.5M oz gold deposit (valued ~$6B) will help supply the nation’s surging demand for the precious metal.
A Common Trend: Gold is Rising as a Percentage of Reserves
One trend that is common across many nations: gold as a percentage of reserves has risen consistently since Q3 of 2018 as gold’s price has skyrocketed.
Most European central banks have gold reserves above the 50% mark of their reserves despite mostly selling gold over the past two decades. On the other hand, China and India have been aggressively purchasing gold since 2000, and yet gold still remains at single-digit percentages of their total reserves with plenty of room for expansion.
While some major nations’ gold holdings are reaching 70-80% of their reserves, the head of foreign exchange reserves management for the Central Bank of Hungary, Róbert Rékási, doesn’t think that nations are approaching a ceiling for this figure, and that central banks are still willing to increase their gold exposure.
China and Russia’s 20-Year Accumulation
The two nations that have increased their gold exposure the most over these past two decades have been China and Russia, which have purchased 1,553 tonnes (393% increase) and 1,873 tonnes (443% increase) respectively.
These aggressive purchases highlight a potential distancing from a weakening U.S. monetary system. The U.S. dollar was recently overtaken by gold as a percentage of Russian reserves, and has fallen to 25-year lows in global central bank foreign exchange reserves.
As both China and Russia have begun preparing central bank digital currencies, the two nations could be looking to set new monetary standards and strengthen their roles in the world’s evolving financial system.
The Next 20 Years of Gold Reserves
Gold’s value has stagnated over the past few months while bitcoin and equities have taken the spotlight, however, central banks still consider it an essential part of their reserves.
Developing nations and global heavyweights like Russia, China, and India have all been accumulating and prioritizing gold production, and while European countries have sold some gold the past two decades, they still rank among the largest holders of the precious metal.
As central bank digital currencies loom on the horizon, gold still plays an essential role in the composition of national central bank reserves backing these new financial systems, providing a familiar inflation hedge for central banks and investors in these uncertain monetary times.
Real Assets
Visualized: China’s Steel Demand Through Time
China’s steel demand remains robust, but the breakdown on a sectoral level has shifted since 2010. Which sectors are driving steel consumption?
Visualized: China’s Steel Demand Through Time
As the world’s manufacturing powerhouse, China has the highest global demand for crude steel, with the market experiencing remarkable growth since 2010.
In 2023, China’s crude steel demand reached 911 million metric tons. This is up an estimated 50% from 609 million metric tons 13 years earlier. When adding in exports and changes to inventory, China surpassed 1 billion metric tons of steel production for the fifth year in a row.
However, the growth in demand for the metal has not been even across industries. In this graphic, we’ve partnered with BHP to visualize how demand for steel on a sectoral level has shifted between 2010 and 2023.
The Sectors Driving Steel Demand
We observed demand for crude steel across the following sectors:
- Machinery: machinery used in power, construction, metals and mining, agriculture, tools and parts, etc.
- Infrastructure: roads, railways, subways, pipelines, etc.
- Construction: urban and rural housing, office buildings, industrial buildings, WRAC buildings (wholesale, retail, accommodation, catering), etc.
- Transport: light-duty vehicles, trucks and buses, auto parts, shipbuilding, etc.
- Consumer Durable Goods: refrigerators, washing machines, air conditioners, microwaves, etc.
- Metal Goods: containers and hardware, etc.
- Other: smaller categories, statistical change, etc.
In 2010, the largest share of Chinese demand came from the construction sector. Construction accounted for an estimated 42% of the country’s total steel needs. Machinery (20%) and infrastructure (13%) were the industries with the second- and third-highest demand, respectively.
Over the past 13 years, however, demand has shifted towards the machinery and infrastructure industries.
Sector | 2010 (%) | 2023 (%) |
---|---|---|
Machinery | 20 | 30 |
Infrastructure | 13 | 17 |
Construction | 42 | 24 |
Transport | 12 | 9 |
Durable Goods | 7 | 8 |
Other | 6 | 12 |
The demand for steel from the construction industry is estimated to have dropped from 42% of total demand to 24%, as construction firms purchased 37 million metric tons less steel in 2023 compared to 2010. This slump can, in part, be attributed to the Chinese real estate crisis and developer bankruptcies. Both of these factors led to a slowdown in residential building starts.
The machinery sector, on the other hand, has witnessed incredible growth. It rose from an estimated 20% share of overall Chinese steel demand in 2010 to 30% by 2023, boosted by an influx of equipment renewals. Infrastructure saw approximate growth of 13% to 17% over this timeframe.
Steel Demand for Transportation and Durable Goods
The share of steel used by the transport sector is estimated to have falled from 12% in 2010 to 9% in 2023. However, there was an uptick in the amount of steel used by the industry. It rose from around 73 million metric tons in 2010 to 82 million metric tons 13 years later. And, with more than half of all new electric vehicles (EVs) sold worldwide made in China, the sector could receive support if EVs continue to gain in popularity.
In fact, the green economy needs the steel industry—it remains vital for the production of emerging technologies. As such, it is important that nations take steps towards “cleaning” their steel industries. China is doing so with its focus on carbon capture, utilization, and storage technologies, employing green hydrogen metallurgy, and introducing electric furnaces.
Steel demand for durable goods rose slightly from 2010 to 2023. However, the relatively steady share masks the near-doubling of absolute steel purchased by this sector—up from 43 million metric tons to an estimated 73 million metric tons.
The Path Forward for Steel
The Chinese steel industry remains robust—growing by an estimated 50% from 2010 to 2023—despite significant shifts beneath the surface.
As the energy transition progresses, further changes in industry demand for steel are likely, especially with the increasing prominence of clean technologies, such as EVs. Conversely, demand from the construction industry remains closely tied to the outlook of the country’s housing sector.
BHP is one of the world’s leading iron ore producers. Read more insights in its economic and commodity outlook report.
Real Assets
Ranked: The Countries That Added the Most Gold Reserves (2013-2023)
Russia and China lead in gold purchases.
Countries Buying the Most Gold (2013-2023)
This was originally posted on our Voronoi app. Download the app for free on iOS or Android and discover incredible data-driven charts from a variety of trusted sources.
Amid escalating geopolitical tensions, increased sanctions, and discussions around de-dollarization, interest in gold purchases is rising. But which countries are leading the charge in increasing their gold reserves?
This graphic ranks the top 10 countries by the change in gold reserves from 2013 to 2023. The figures, measured in tonnes, were compiled by the World Gold Council.
Russia and China Lead in Gold Purchases
Central banks, particularly those of Russia and China, have bought gold at the fastest pace as countries seek to diversify their reserves away from the dollar. Central banks also hold gold reserves due to their safety, liquidity, and return characteristics.
Russia’s reserves jumped from 1,035 tonnes in 2013 to 2,333 in 2023. China’s reserves rose from 1,054 tonnes to 2,235 in 2023.
In third place in our ranking of central bank gold additions, Türkiye increased its reserves from 116 tonnes in 2013 to 540 tonnes in 2023.
Rank | Country | Q4 '13 | Q4 '23 | 10 Year Gold Reserve Change (tonnes) |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 🇷🇺 Russia | 1,035 | 2,333 | +1,298 |
2 | 🇨🇳 China | 1,054 | 2,235 | +1,181 |
3 | 🇹🇷 Türkiye | 116 | 540 | +424 |
4 | 🇵🇱 Poland | 103 | 359 | +256 |
5 | 🇮🇳 India | 558 | 804 | +246 |
6 | 🇺🇿 Uzbekistan | 217 | 371 | +154 |
7 | 🇰🇿 Kazakhstan | 144 | 294 | +151 |
8 | 🇸🇬 Singapore | 127 | 230 | +103 |
9 | 🇮🇶 Iraq | 42 | 143 | +100 |
10 | 🇹🇭 Thailand | 152 | 244 | +92 |
The United States remains as the country with the highest overall gold reserves, holding 8,133 tonnes. Half of the country’s reserves are stored at the United States Bullion Depository, commonly known as Fort Knox, a United States Army installation in Kentucky.
Germany ranks second with 3,351 tonnes, followed by Italy with 2,452 tonnes.
Learn More on the Voronoi App
In you enjoyed this graphic, make sure to check this bar chart about the top ten countries in total gold reserves in 2024.
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